Three Centuries of Snowpack Decline at an Alpine Pass Revealed by Cosmogenic Paleothermometry and Luminescence Photochronometry

The spatial and temporal distribution of Alpine snow is a sensitive gauge of environmental change. While understanding past snow dynamics is essential for reconstructing past climate and forecasting future trends, reliable snowpack data prior to the instrumental record are scarce. We present a novel pairing of cosmogenic paleothermometry and luminescence photochronometry which constrain the temperature and insolation history of bedrock outcrops at the Gotthard Pass, Switzerland, over the last similar to 15,000 years. By coupling these results with cosmogenic 14C-10Be chronology and modern in situ rock thermometry, we infer a similar to 70-day reduction of snowpack at the topographic mid-slope. Our data indicate stable environmental conditions throughout the Holocene, followed by a 6.6 +/- 2.9 degrees C increase of ground surface temperature, coeval with an order-of-magnitude or more increase in ground surface insolation. Bracketing the onset of these changes between 1504 and 1807 CE, our findings tie the snowpack decline with the onset of human industrialization. The extent of snow cover is shrinking in high elevation mountain environments due to climate change. However, it is challenging to determine when snow cover began to change because humans have only been monitoring snow cover for several decades, and snow cover has appeared to shrink over this entire time. We used two new geologic records of ground temperature and light exposure-both of which are impacted by the duration and amount of snow cover-to assess when snow cover began to change in the Gotthard Pass in Switzerland. We found that the middle slopes of the pass began experiencing snow cover loss three centuries ago, well before historical monitoring of snow cover in this region. This record of prolonged snow cover loss matters for the informed management of mountain water sources, rock and snow avalanche risk, and ecosystem change. We present a novel data set of cosmogenic paleothermometry and luminescence photochronometry at the Gotthard Pass, SwitzerlandStable Holocene environmental conditions are followed by increases in ground temperature and insolation caused by snow cover declineThese environmental changes began between 1504 and 1807 CE, tying the observed snowpack decline with the onset of human industrialization